Newcastle vs Aston Villa Result & Match Review

Premier League · EnglandRegular Season - 7

Newcastle

0–1Full time

Aston Villa

Missed

Sat 17 Oct · 19:30St James' ParkRef · Jarred Gillett

Quick answerBetLogic Match Read — ResultAston Villa beat Newcastle 1–0.Full-time result

BetLogic prediction: BetLogic's pre-match prediction missed — the pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals.

BetLogic Match Intelligence

Pre-match evidence

Frozen before kick-off · independently verifiable context

6 of 6 evidence groups

FT review · 0–1Historical Main Tip · MissedLast 5 form · 7–13 pts

Explore all 6 recorded evidence groups & full-time comparison

Decision snapshot: 2026-10-14 21:21:14.230 UTC

Recent form

Points from up to the last 5 and 10 recorded matches. Historical samples: Newcastle 10, Aston Villa 10.

Newcastle · last 5: 7 pts
Aston Villa · last 5: 13 pts
Newcastle · last 10: 15 pts
Aston Villa · last 10: 17 pts

Rest and fixture congestion

Newcastle · rest: 2.0981 days
Aston Villa · rest: 0.0981 days
Newcastle · matches in 7 days: 1
Aston Villa · matches in 7 days: 2

Standings at decision time

Newcastle: Rank 11
Aston Villa: Rank 16

Rank gap at decision time: 5 places (Newcastle ranked higher).

Head-to-head history

Recorded H2H matches: 10
Average total goals: 3.7
Both teams scored: 50%

Recorded absences

Newcastle: 10
Aston Villa: 8

Newcastle · recorded unavailable players

A. Elanga
E. Jaouen
V. Livramento
J. Ramsey
B. Toure

Aston Villa · recorded unavailable players

G. Hemmings
I. Maatsen
A. Onana
M. Ruggeri

Names are displayed only when verified by a frozen decision-time provider record; counts may cover additional unnamed players.

Pre-match market baseline

Newcastle win: 44.6%
Draw: 25.5%
Aston Villa win: 29.9%

Margin-free normalized market-implied shares from the stored API-Football odds snapshot. These are not BetLogic model probabilities.

After the final whistle

Final score: Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa. Full-time outcome: Aston Villa win.

Stored BetLogic 1X2 outlook

Newcastle win: 33%
Draw: 26%
Aston Villa win: 41%

Highest model share: Aston Villa win. That outcome occurred.

Frozen pre-match market baseline

Newcastle win: 44.6%
Draw: 25.5%
Aston Villa win: 29.9%

Highest market-implied share: Newcastle win. That outcome did not occur.

Historical Main Tip · verified settlement

Verified result of the historical recorded Main Tip: Missed.

Settlement is read from the exact historical decision record. The protected Main Tip market/selection is not disclosed, and this result is never regraded from the score.

Historical comparison only. Model shares are normalized outlook values, not calibrated probabilities. Market shares are margin-free implied probabilities. One result does not establish forecasting accuracy.

Only verified historical groups are shown. Missing data is unavailable, not a zero or a prediction.

Match details

Match context is not available for this fixture yet.

When was Newcastle vs Aston Villa played?

Newcastle vs Aston Villa was played on 17 October 2026 in Premier League, England.

Did the BetLogic prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa land?

No — BetLogic's pre-match prediction missed (Over 2.5 goals).

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Result & Match Review