Spain · Belgium
Spain Edge Belgium 2-1 in World Cup Quarter-final at Neutral Venue
In a tightly contested World Cup quarter-final at SoFi Stadium, Spain secured a 2-1 victory over Belgium to advance to the semi-finals.


Overview
In a tightly contested World Cup quarter-final at SoFi Stadium, Spain secured a 2-1 victory over Belgium to advance to the semi-finals.
Analysis
Spain dominated possession and chance creation throughout the match, controlling 68% of the ball and generating significantly more shots and expected goals than Belgium. Their ability to maintain midfield control and create multiple opportunities inside the box proved decisive. Belgium managed to respond with a goal before halftime but struggled to match Spain’s attacking threat or possession dominance. Spain’s late goal in the 88th minute sealed the win, reflecting their sustained pressure and tactical superiority in this neutral World Cup setting.
Final score
Spain 2-1 Belgium (Full Time)
What happened
At SoFi Stadium, Spain took the lead in the 30th minute through Fabián Ruiz. Belgium equalized shortly after in the 41st minute via Charles De Ketelaere. The match remained level until late in the second half when Mikel Merino scored the winning goal for Spain in the 88th minute. The game featured four yellow cards, with Spain receiving three and Belgium two, indicating a competitive and physical encounter.
Key turning points
The opening goal by Fabián Ruiz set the tone for Spain’s dominance. Belgium’s equalizer before halftime kept them in contention, but Spain’s late strike by Mikel Merino was the decisive moment. The timing of the winning goal left Belgium little opportunity to respond.
Stats that mattered
Spain’s expected goals were 2.08 compared to Belgium’s 0.37, reflecting their superior chance quality. Spain took 17 total shots with 8 on target, while Belgium managed only 5 shots and 2 on target. Spain also held 68% possession and earned 5 corners to Belgium’s 1, underscoring their control of the match.
Prediction review
The pre-match BetLogic prediction favored Spain or a draw with a 77% probability, which aligned well with the final outcome as Spain won the match.
Match tips review
The official tracked Main Tip of 1X (Home or Draw) was a hit. The secondary tip for BTTS - No remains pending and is not part of the official tracked picks.
What this means next
Spain progresses to the World Cup semi-finals, moving closer to the title. Belgium’s tournament run ends at the quarter-final stage.
Risk note
All match tips carry inherent uncertainty and should be considered with caution.